Point Reyes Light - March 2, 2006

"Somewhat Logically"

©John R. Hulls 2006

Ship of fuels

Notice all the Prius hybrids and Volkswagen TDI diesels in Pt. Reyes? West Marin has always been an environmental "early adopter" but, pushed by tough EU regulations, European and Japanese manufacturers are further reducing oil use and global warming emissions while competing for market share. The majority of cars sold in Europe are advanced diesels, with diesel hybrids on the way from Peugeot. Competition is fierce and no one has a clear edge. Biodiesel? Hydrogen? Shell’s ultra-clean synthetic fuel from natural gas? It’s all on the table. To promote their technology, Audi’s twin turbo lightweight V12 diesel aims for an outright win at the famed LeMans 24 hour race. To make a point, Audi is running it with emission controls.

http://www.audi.com/audi/com/en1
/experience/ motorsport/r10.html

And in the US with the dual fuel/oil addiction pitch in the State of the Union? More mirrors and oil smoke. Hooked on short term SUV profits, Detroit drives through every loophole in the Federal CAFÉ mileage regulations, including the one that lets manufacturers count dual fuel vehicles as high-mileage, even if they never run on an alternate fuel. It’s old technology. GM doesn’t even bother to advertise that all their Surburban SUV’s will run on ethanol, they just take the mileage credit. This lets them sell more gas guzzlers and "meet "mileage regulations. The games playing is so bad that even though the regulations call for 27.5 mpg fleet average of all the cars produced, the Energy Information Administration reports the actual fleet mileage has dropped to 18.6…..the EPA says 20.7. http://www.ase.org/content/article/detail/2098

Each 1 mpg increase in true CAFÉ standards saves 5 billion gallons of fuel annually. If Bush wants any credibility on this issue, close the loopholes and raise the standards. It will actually help the car industry.

A senior U.S. engineer gave me the startling information that there is a U.S. funded advanced clean diesel program that had been in the works since 1998. They get a combined city/highway average of 22.1 mpg in a Dodge Durango SUV with the same power and acceleration as the 13.8 mpg gasoline motor, over 60% improvement. However he feels that by doling out R&D funding without demanding that the cars be sold to the public is giving away multimillion dollar carrots when the only thing that will work is a big CAFÉ fuel standards stick.

http://www.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/resourcs/proceedings/
2002_deer_presentations.shtml

(See Section 8&9)

The engineer accuses the automakers of "strip mining" America’s technological capabilities for years, and not growing or making markets for new ideas. He feels that US carmakers will only change when the government demands it, noting that each energy crisis, Detroit loses 10-15% of its market and never gets it back. The current 50,000+ job losses from Ford and GM are the tip of the iceberg, which could easily total 5 times that when all the developers and suppliers of the new technology are considered.

He cites Toyota as an example of what Detroit should have done, using the California market to launch the Prius Hybrid. He said that the first Prius was good, but the second model is brilliant, and the production costs are way down. Now they’re taking advantage of Britain and Germany’s ultra low sulfur fuel programs, introducing "the world’s cleanest diesel," the 46.3 mpg Avensis DCAT (a full-sized sedan) garnering real world experience, just as they did with the Prius. Even California Air Resource Board, notoriously schizophrenic about diesels, has good things to say about it. He’s sure the second generation DCAT will be brilliant.

http://www.dieselnet.com/news/2003/10toyota.php

The problem lies not with American scientists and technology, but with Congress and the "impermeably layered grey clay of American automotive management". Their inaction is aided and abetted by the oil industry and the White House. When EPA delayed the implementation of low sulfur fuel standards from 2001 to 2006, it effectively protected Detroit from the clean foreign diesels that need the low sulfur fuel. The oil industry is lobbying to use post-Katrina damage as an excuse for further delays.

Some politicians claim that they are protecting union jobs by not toughening CAFÉ standards. With an estimated 30% overcapacity in the world automotive industry, the only companies that will survive will develop the best technology, scramble up the learning curve of production and put it in the hands of the public first. Franklin D. Roosevelt put it best in his commencement address at Oglethorpe University in May of 1932, shortly before he won the Democratic presidential nomination. Decrying the wanton exploitation of natural resources and short-sighted financial greed, he said that the true temperament of the country called for "bold, persistent experimentation" as the only truly safe path to the future. And the only way to save the US auto industry.

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